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People still believe that the model intelligence has plateaud and I feel like they live under the rocks. I get the insane capex spend, I get the hype, I even get certain company will go under but to ignore the capability jump in a year is absurd.


The only honest benchmark is "has it cured cancer yet?". It has not, nor moved close to doing so.

People are doing great at marketing the diminishing returns as breakthroughs though.


> The only honest benchmark is "has it cured cancer yet?".

Says who?


AI companies themselves pitched this. It's their word.

Now no one talks about it (obviously), but I remember.


That’s a very narrow view. So non of the fields of science and engineering matter but just cancer?


I would accept something on the same magnitude in other areas.

AI companies promised a lot of things in the beginning. "Cure cancer", "no one works anymore", "intelligence as cheap as electricity".

Any of those would do. If the investment is sized on that, but the result is not there yet, you're being scammed.


It hasn't plateaud but the generational leaps are definitely getting smaller.




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